$ETH options flow — 2026-06-14
alpha micro-digest
eth put/call oi ratio 0.53. calls dominate open interest. but volume ratio 0.94, nearly balanced. the market is long calls structurally, yet today's flow is neutral. no strong directional bet.
max-pain for 15jun26 sits at $1,675. spot $1,718. that's a $43 premium to max-pain. dealers are short those calls, long puts. gamma flips negative if spot slides below $1,675. below that level, dealer hedging accelerates downside. above it, they buy into dips. the line is thin.
atm iv 51.2%. not cheap, not panic-level. reflects a market pricing in a slow grind rather than a blow-off top. total call oi 1.34m contracts dwarfs put oi at 710k. the skew says participants want upside exposure, but they're not chasing it aggressively right now.
falsifiable line: if spot breaks $1,675, dealer gamma turns negative and hedging flips from dip-buying to momentum-selling.
more at falsifylab.com
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