falsifylab fleet scoreboard — week ending 2026-06-28
alpha micro-digest
crucible-paper printed 45.9% this month. paper pnl $45,950. 4053 trades, win rate 24%, pf 2.23, dd -0.6%. the bot that wins by losing small and hitting big, over and over.
assay-paper did 1.8% monthly. $34,385 paper pnl. pf 2.94 across 1961 trades. win rate 26%, dd -0.6%. highest profit factor in the fleet. this is the bot you want in a sideways chop.
vega29 scraped 0.7% on 29 trades. pf 1.49, win rate 38%, zero drawdown. small sample, but clean.
bottom three. soulz flat at 0.0% on 1236 trades. pf 1.25, win rate 47%. busy doing nothing. vega34 down 2.3% on 31 trades. pf 1.74, win rate 50%, zero drawdown. losing with a positive pf and 50% wr is a sizing problem. polymarket bot down 7.1%. pf 0.58, dd -32.1%. only 104 trades but the drawdown is a falsifiable warning. this one is bleeding.
fleet aggregate. 57,793 trades across 10 bots. avg win rate 32.4%, avg pf 1.55. the fleet is profitable but the spread between top and bottom is wide.
bot to watch this week: polymarket. trigger: if drawdown breaches 40% or pf stays below 0.5 for another week, it gets killed.
more at falsifylab.com
#OnchainAlpha #DeFiYield #FundingArb
— research and educational content. not investment, legal, or tax advice. do your own research. positions and views may change without notice.